Thursday, September 25, 2008

More Evidence

My brother John seems to think that I am being partisan in my analysis of the current debacle.

Unfortunately for him, the facts keep getting in the way. Take a look at this article by Steven Holmes from the venerable liberal bastion of the New York Times on September 30, 1999 (emphasis added):


In a move that could help increase home ownership rates among minorities and low-income consumers, the Fannie Mae Corporation is easing the credit requirements on loans that it will purchase from banks and other lenders.

The action, which will begin as a pilot program involving 24 banks in 15 markets -- including the New York metropolitan region -- will encourage those banks to extend home mortgages to individuals whose credit is generally not good enough to qualify for conventional loans. Fannie Mae officials say they hope to make it a nationwide program by next spring.

Fannie Mae, the nation's biggest underwriter of home mortgages, has been under increasing pressure from the Clinton Administration to expand mortgage loans among low and moderate income people and felt pressure from stock holders to maintain its phenomenal growth in profits.

In addition, banks, thrift institutions and mortgage companies have been pressing Fannie Mae to help them make more loans to so-called subprime borrowers. These borrowers whose incomes, credit ratings and savings are not good enough to qualify for conventional loans, can only get loans from finance companies that charge much higher interest rates -- anywhere from three to four percentage points higher than conventional loans.

''Fannie Mae has expanded home ownership for millions of families in the 1990's by reducing down payment requirements,'' said Franklin D. Raines, Fannie Mae's chairman and chief executive officer. ''Yet there remain too many borrowers whose credit is just a notch below what our underwriting has required who have been relegated to paying significantly higher mortgage rates in the so-called subprime market.''

Demographic information on these borrowers is sketchy. But at least one study indicates that 18 percent of the loans in the subprime market went to black borrowers, compared to 5 per cent of loans in the conventional loan market.

In moving, even tentatively, into this new area of lending, Fannie Mae is taking on significantly more risk, which may not pose any difficulties during flush economic times. But the government-subsidized corporation may run into trouble in an economic downturn, prompting a government rescue similar to that of the savings and loan industry in the 1980's.

''From the perspective of many people, including me, this is another thrift industry growing up around us,'' said Peter Wallison a resident fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. ''If they fail, the government will have to step up and bail them out the way it stepped up and bailed out the thrift industry.''

Under Fannie Mae's pilot program, consumers who qualify can secure a mortgage with an interest rate one percentage point above that of a conventional, 30-year fixed rate mortgage of less than $240,000 -- a rate that currently averages about 7.76 per cent. If the borrower makes his or her monthly payments on time for two years, the one percentage point premium is dropped.

Fannie Mae, the nation's biggest underwriter of home mortgages, does not lend money directly to consumers. Instead, it purchases loans that banks make on what is called the secondary market. By expanding the type of loans that it will buy, Fannie Mae is hoping to spur banks to make more loans to people with less-than-stellar credit ratings.

Fannie Mae officials stress that the new mortgages will be extended to all potential borrowers who can qualify for a mortgage. But they add that the move is intended in part to increase the number of minority and low income home owners who tend to have worse credit ratings than non-Hispanic whites.

Home ownership has, in fact, exploded among minorities during the economic boom of the 1990's. The number of mortgages extended to Hispanic applicants jumped by 87.2 per cent from 1993 to 1998, according to Harvard University's Joint Center for Housing Studies. During that same period the number of African Americans who got mortgages to buy a home increased by 71.9 per cent and the number of Asian Americans by 46.3 per cent.

In contrast, the number of non-Hispanic whites who received loans for homes increased by 31.2 per cent.

Despite these gains, home ownership rates for minorities continue to lag behind non-Hispanic whites, in part because blacks and Hispanics in particular tend to have on average worse credit ratings.

In July, the Department of Housing and Urban Development proposed that by the year 2001, 50 percent of Fannie Mae's and Freddie Mac's portfolio be made up of loans to low and moderate-income borrowers. Last year, 44 percent of the loans Fannie Mae purchased were from these groups.

The change in policy also comes at the same time that HUD is investigating allegations of racial discrimination in the automated underwriting systems used by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to determine the credit-worthiness of credit applicants.

Well now, isn't that interesting.

By the way, about Franklin Raines--the CEO of Fannie at the time--
On July 16, 2008, The Washington Post reported that Franklin Raines had "taken calls from Barack Obama's presidential campaign seeking his advice on mortgage and housing policy matters."
Also, in an editorial in August 27, 2008 titled "Tough Decision Coming", the Washington Post editorial staff wrote that "Two members of Mr. Obama's political circle, James A. Johnson and Franklin D. Raines, are former chief executives of Fannie Mae."

More support can also be found in another liberal bastion--the Los Angeles Times. In an article by Ronald Brownstein on May 31, 1999, several interesting nuggets can be found:

Under Clinton, bank regulators have breathed the first real life into enforcement of the Community Reinvestment Act, a 20-year-old statute meant to combat “redlining” by requiring banks to serve their low-income communities. The administration also has sent a clear message by stiffening enforcement of the fair housing and fair lending laws. The bottom line: Between 1993 and 1997, home loans grew by 72% to blacks and by 45% to Latinos, far faster than the total growth rate.

Lenders also have opened the door wider to minorities because of new initiatives at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac–the giant federally chartered corporations that play critical, if obscure, roles in the home finance system. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac buy mortgages from lenders and bundle them into securities; that provides lenders the funds to lend more.

In 1992, Congress mandated that Fannie and Freddie increase their purchases of mortgages for low-income and medium-income borrowers. Operating under that requirement, Fannie Mae, in particular, has been aggressive and creative in stimulating minority gains. It has aimed extensive advertising campaigns at minorities that explain how to buy a home and opened three dozen local offices to encourage lenders to serve these markets. Most importantly, Fannie Mae has agreed to buy more loans with very low down payments–or with mortgage payments that represent an unusually high percentage of a buyer’s income. That’s made banks willing to lend to lower-income families they once might have rejected.

The top priority may be to ask more of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The two companies are now required to devote 42% of their portfolios to loans for low- and moderate-income borrowers; HUD, which has the authority to set the targets, is poised to propose an increase this summer. Although Fannie Mae actually has exceeded its target since 1994, it is resisting any hike. It argues that a higher target would only produce more loan defaults by pressuring banks to accept unsafe borrowers. HUD says Fannie Mae is resisting more low-income loans because they are less profitable.


So, John, are the New York Times and the Los Angeles Times being partisan as well?

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Hi Jim! I love you! I am glad to see you are blogging again. I hope it goes well for you. Even though I rarely (if ever :) ) agree with you, I respect that these ideals are important to you.
Love,
Jenny

jpb2525 said...

This crisis is not Freddie and Fannie alone Jimmy. Yes, the idea was to end redlining...something that is dispicable and patently wrong.
If it was such a terrible idea - where were the Republicans to block any legislation that could have prevented it? This was a policy that could have been revisited a number of times..but never has.

The federal government already has pledged more than $600 billion in the past year to bail out, or help bail out, some of the biggest names in American finance. That includes the rescue of investment bank Bear Stearns in March, the takeover of mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac earlier this month and the takeover of the world's largest insurance company, American International Group, just this week.

Last I checked Bear Stearns and AIG were not mentioned in the factual articles you present. Neither is Washington Mutual (just purchased by JP Morgan/Chase). So - again...your facts do not support your argument completely. Try again. Love ya!

Jodi said...

Okay, boys, slow down just a bit in your taking all this on as personal. Neither one of you identify yourselves with party before all other identification. There is plenty of blame to go around. Jim, you are not to blame for all of Bush's failures and John, you are not to blame for all of Clinton's. Similarly, Jim you do not agree with the Republicans 100% of the time and neither does John with the Democrats. You argue as though you both personally sit at the head of the party and wrote the platforms yourselves, taking all criticism as a personal attack. No matter how we got here, we are all in this together. It's that simple. To continually argue otherwise puts you both in a place of weakness. I think addressing our posts toward one another is really not a good thing to do. The entire world can read this and I don't think it does anyone's argument any good to look like a family squabble and a game of one-up or look how much: smarter, intense, passionate, liberal, conservative, laissez-faire, pro-regulation, Bush hating, Bush loving I can be than my brother.

That said, let me say that one thing that struck me in this article that you did not add emphasis to, Jim, is the fact that it began as a pilot program in 15 markets including the NY metropolitan area. Let me state that the NY metropolitan area is actually fairing quite well when it comes to mortgage foreclosures. So, I think it would be reasonable to assume that in a market like NY where demand is high for housing and therefore the cost astronomical Fannie and Freddie lowering their standards helped those of us that may not have had the ability to buy and would have remained renters. Now, was expanding that program to places like, oh, let's say Ohio, a good choice? Obviously, no. The demand was not high and the people who were not granted loans previously probably shouldn't have ever got them. Hence, the reason that the default rate is so much higher there. I still reaffirm that government's willingness to help the least of us is a good, noble thing. It may be misplaced sometimes, but it is good. And I want to restate what I previously wrote on your first analysis:
But this situation didn't come from the government offering a helping hand to the least among us, it came from pure GREED. GREED on homeowners part that they were signing contracts for mortgages they couldn't afford to attain the "American dream" without the effort that saving requires and GREED from wall street and banks who skirted the truth, made loans to people without knowing their financial situations, repackaged it, and got some people to buy it all up.

Jim-the Classical Liberal (Views from the Right) said...

John...

Bear Stearns, AIG and WaMu are all fallouts of the house of cards built through the CRA and Fannie and Freddie...

Alas, the party you convict me of being part has NOT lived up to their principles founded in Classical Liberalism. I am a Republican by default because they are the closest to these principles, but I am a conservative first--a true believer in Classical Liberalism.

I have been a vocal critic of this Administration in most of its domestic policies...and a critic of the Republicn majority (while we had it) especially for the last several years.

I hope you are thanking your lucky stars that the conservatives in the House are the ones putting the cabash on this overreaching "bailout". Time to let the house of cards fall, infuse capital into the market by 1) reducing capital gains to zero (at least temporarily), 2) getting rid of the portions of SOX which hamper investment, and 3) lowering corporate taxes to be more in line with the rest of the industrialized world.