14 Days to Go--I Think It Is Closer Than You Think

Let's go back to 2004:

"Fourteen days before the presidential election, Senator John Kerry and President Bush are back in a dead-heat race for the White House at 45% apiece, according to a new Reuters/Zogby daily tracking poll. The telephone poll of 1211 likely voters was conducted from Friday through Sunday (October 15-17, 2004). The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.

[According to] Pollster John Zogby....'Kerry had a good day on Sunday. If I were to factor in the leaners in the 3-day track, it would be Kerry 47.2% to Bush 46.6%.' "


Also, two weeks before the election in 2000:

Reuters, 10/25/00: "GORE TAKES 3 POINT LEAD IN ZOGBY."

According to the daily Zogby poll today (2 weeks to go), The One is up 6 points (with a margin of error of about 3).

Current polls:
Battleground (Obama +4)
Diageo (Obama +5)
Gallup expanded (Obama +9)
IBD (Obama +6)
Opinion Rsearch (Obama +5)
Rasmussen (Obama +4)
Research 2000 (Obama +8)
Washington Post/ABC (Obama +9)
YouGov (Obama +6)
Zogby (Obama +6)

It is not over!